Posts tagged ‘voter turnout’

South Africa general elections – An overview

The following table includes two parts. The first part shows the outcomes of all parties of the national assembly by shares for each election since 1994. The second part shows the participation of the electorate for each national election since 1994. This part distinguishes between the total amount of people at the age over 18 years and all registered voters. Latter distinction is valid for the voter turnout.

Electoral outcome 
Share by party / election 2009 2004 1999 1994
ACDP 0,81% 1,60% 1,43% 0,45%
ANC 65,90% 69,69% 66,35% 62,65%
Cope 7,42%
DA 16,60% 12,37% 9,56% 1,73%
ID 0,92% 1,73%
IFP 4,55% 6,97% 8,58% 10,54%
NNP susp. 1,65% 6,87% 20,39%
UDM 0,85% 2,27% 3,42%
Sum 97,05% 96,28% 96,21% 95,76%
Adult people ca. 30Mio  27 to 30Mio ca. 27Mio
Registered voters 22.872.870 20.674.926 18.172.751 na
Votes cast 17.680.729 15.612.671 15.977.142 na
Voter turnout all people over 18 years 58,9% 54,8% 59,2% na
Voter turnout registered voters 77,3% 75,5% 87,9% 86,9%

Source: IEC, EISA and StatsSA.


May 2, 2009 at 11:16 Leave a comment

Public holiday in South Africa

Today, a  public holiday in South Africa, the forth elections take place since the ending of apartheid. More than 23 Mio. people (of approx. 30 Mio. at the age over 18 years) have registered. To register for elections seems to be a barrier for 25 percent of possible voters. Why does political campaiging leaks to motivate these 7 Mio. people? How many people are registered but wont vote? A look at the statistics on voter participation of the past (IEC and EISA) offers a loss of 25 percent for registration and an additional amount which is registered but does not attend the elections. For this year elections can be expected a voter turnout of 70 to 75 percent, which is around 50 percent of total electorate. 50 percent participation is not bad compared to other nations, like in US or Switzerland, but it is not over average. Nethertheless these figures show a trend of decreasing participation. So again, why does political campaigning leaks to motivate 50 percent of the electorate? Does it mean, political campaigning demotivates people? Does politics of the previous legislation(s) demotivate people? Or, does people resign on political future? Are they expecting certain results, which are pre-electoral announced by newspapers and polls, and willing to fulfil these? The elections today assign the parliament and government of the next five years. On the one hand, one single vote of 30 Mio. has an impact of 1 to 30 Mio., which is in mathematical terms like zero impact. On the over hand, voters should keep in mind, that today is the first day of more than 1.800 days with the (not) elected parliament.

April 22, 2009 at 06:22 Leave a comment

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This blog is about countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) regarding societies, political parties and policies. Most interest will be spent on the countries: Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa and Zambia.

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