Posts tagged ‘Cope’

COPE 2014 Manifesto South Africa

Please find the full version copy of the COPE 2014 manifesto as pdf file under the link COPE_2014_Manifesto.

 

Congress of the People Manifesto

IN OUR 2009 MANIFESTO we said that South Africa needed a government of the people…with leaders who are honest servants of the people…with respect for values and the principles of the South African people….a growing economy…ensuring sustainable development… educating and training our people for development…improving the quality of healthcare…fighting crime and ensuring safety for all citizens…advancing the African Agenda and creating a better world.
TODAY WE REITERATE WHAT WE SAID IN 2009, only this time we say it with a greater sense of urgency and the certainty that the vast majority of the people of our country will agree that SOUTH AFRICA DESERVES A BETTER GOVERNMENT…with leaders who are honest servants of the people, who have respect for values and the principles of the South African people, meet their promises of service delivery and lead and create conditions for a growing economy and sustainable development, a world class education system, quality and universal healthcaare, fight crime and ensure safety and security for all in human settlements that are conducive to building social cohesion, a better South Africa and therefore place us in a better position to contribute to advancing the African Agenda and creating a better world.
IN 2009 WE SAID THAT SOUTH AFRICA NEEDED a government of the people and that there was a need to inspire South Africans to build a better South Africa.
Today we say that SOUTH AFRICA DESERVES A BETTER GOVERNMENT.
We are reminding you that YOUR VOTE CAN DELIVER IT!
Today we are asking you to see that YOUR COUNTRY
NEEDS YOU.
TODAY we are calling on you to SAVE SOUTH AFRICA.

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April 6, 2014 at 21:18 Leave a comment

South Africa general elections – An overview

The following table includes two parts. The first part shows the outcomes of all parties of the national assembly by shares for each election since 1994. The second part shows the participation of the electorate for each national election since 1994. This part distinguishes between the total amount of people at the age over 18 years and all registered voters. Latter distinction is valid for the voter turnout.

Electoral outcome 
Share by party / election 2009 2004 1999 1994
ACDP 0,81% 1,60% 1,43% 0,45%
ANC 65,90% 69,69% 66,35% 62,65%
Cope 7,42%
DA 16,60% 12,37% 9,56% 1,73%
ID 0,92% 1,73%
IFP 4,55% 6,97% 8,58% 10,54%
NNP susp. 1,65% 6,87% 20,39%
UDM 0,85% 2,27% 3,42%
Sum 97,05% 96,28% 96,21% 95,76%
Participation 
Adult people ca. 30Mio  27 to 30Mio ca. 27Mio
Registered voters 22.872.870 20.674.926 18.172.751 na
Votes cast 17.680.729 15.612.671 15.977.142 na
Voter turnout all people over 18 years 58,9% 54,8% 59,2% na
Voter turnout registered voters 77,3% 75,5% 87,9% 86,9%

Source: IEC, EISA and StatsSA.

May 2, 2009 at 11:16 Leave a comment

High participation pushes opposition

With respect to unexpected high voter participation (77.3 percent of registered people/ 59 percent of all people over 18 years) at South Africans elections, the IEC extended the opening of polling stations until the next day. On the April 22, the IEC announced the official results for the national level (as well as for the municipal level). The ANC lost share (-3.8 percent) and did not reach the two third by a hair’s breath, while the major opposition parties won.

The Cope turned out to be the most successful start up party since 1994 and is now the second major opposition party. The Cope challenge was to take over 20 percent of the ANC share, but the ANC only lost almost 4. What about the over 3 percent, which won Cope? Keeping in mind first that the Cope split off from the ANC and second the ANC is a left wing party, it seems visible that the Cope positioned rather on ANC’s right side, where all other parties are positioned as well. But, where exactly is the Cope positioned? On one side, the Cope is a young party, with a manifesto close to the ANC, founded by former ANC members. On the other side, opposition parties like ID, UDM, IFP and DA are positioned more distanced, because their ideology is more independent rooted. And the ideolgical distance between ANC and DA is most distinctive. The cluster of ID, UDM and IFP lost overall 6 percent. Following this, isn’t it possible, that the Cope is positioned exactly between these three parties (cluster) and the ANC? The Cope probably took over share from both sides, ANC and the party cluster. Additionally the mobilization of voters seems to be made by the Cope. Remember, the participation was unexpected high with 2 Mio. caste votes more than in 2004. The ANC benefits from high participation with 770.000 additional votes and the Cope total votes are 1.3 Mio.

The DA share increased by more than 4 percent and unifies additional 1 Mio. votes – compared with in 2004. The DA is a liberal party with mainly White and Indian voters (superficial said). This population makes a share of 12 percent of all inhabitants. Where did the DA fetch the other 4.5 percent? Obviously race does not play a role for the electorate, because 4.5 percent of blacks vote the DA (or rather more if it is allowed to break down 59 percent participation equal to the White and Indian population). There can be two reasons for that choice. The one reason can be the social engagement of the DA, which is a key issue in South Africa. Especially in terms of AIDS/HIV, where the ANC rather argues suspect (with beetroot, garlic and shower), while the DA campaigns aggressively in townships. And the other reason lies in an increasing share of economic successful people, who probably prefer liberal politics than socialist or even Marxist politics of the left wing party spectrum. These successful people could also have switched from the cluster parties to a party with a higher chance for alternative politics.

Summarizing the argumentation on party system above, the schema could look like following enumeration (from left to right): ANC – Cope – ID, UDM, and IFP – DA. Surprising for European experiences is that small parties benefit from high voter participation. Does South Africa up side down or on the way to materialize a party system without predominance as proportional representation usually generates?

April 26, 2009 at 15:49 Leave a comment

Let’s get started

In three days, on April 22, South Africa discloses the year of general elections in the Southern African region. Malawi helds elections in May 2009 and later on this year Botswana, Namibia and Mozambique. Also German newspapers treat the South African elections. For example, the weekly newspaper DIE ZEIT in its latest print version on April 16 ( 63 / 17). The author Bartolomäus Grill underlined his article “Wahl ohne Helden” (“Elections without Heroes”) with the question whether or not South Africa will be democratic after the elections. He issues voter resignation, dishonoured promises of the government and still existing racial and tribal discrimination in South Africa. He also sees a small chance for the new Cope Party to win significant share for breaking the ANC predominance. The Cope manifesto, he says, is a blue print of the ANC manifesto. But does it really surprise, that the Cope Party position is close to the ANC since founding in November 2008 mainly with former ANC members? Does race, religion and tribes really matter for individual decision making in the ballot box, while poverty, crime and unemployment are strong issues? Does disappointed people rather resign elections than switch to alternative parties such as Cope or the Democratic Alliance (DA)? The Cope challenge is to take over 20 percent of the ANC share and an increasing DA share would change the party system of South Africa. A different party system could raise party competition in a way of reduced predominance. In three days we know more about South African people’s political will.

April 19, 2009 at 12:35 Leave a comment


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This blog is about countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) regarding societies, political parties and policies. Most interest will be spent on the countries: Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa and Zambia.

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